Showing posts with label CVS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CVS. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 25, 2020

Selling calls in a down market is possible CVS

  • Down markets can still provide call option opportunity
  • Looking for a stock that will continue to pay the dividend even in a down market
  • Making sure the expiration date captures the next dividend
  • Searching for an over 10% potential gain should the call be exercised

CVS is a stock that has a low P/E (price earnings ratio) forward looking 9.54 and a good dividend yield currently 2.8%.   Even a 30 year U.S. Treasury cannot deliver that kind of income.

Readers know the criteria I use to pick a dividend stock and here are the facts on CVS.

CVS Earnings Dividend
 Earnings > Dividend $5.09 $2.00
 Debt to Equity 1.43
 Dividend Yield 2.98%
 3 Yr. Rev. Growth 8.90%


The call I sold this morning 2/25/20 on CVS after a more than 1,000 point decrease in the DOW industrials yesterday  and a further erosion in the range of 300-400 points today is presented in the table below.

CVS is down 1.86 points today and off its 52 week high of $77.03 by over 14%. Yet, someone thinks CVS has potential and they are willing to pay me $1.25 per share to buy low.  And I am willing to buy low and take the $1.25 per share in hopes that I will keep the stock.  On other hand, I can also hope they take my shares because then I pocket an over 12% gain.

In the milieux of politics with its potential effects on the stock market, CVS will be volatile and both scenarios are possible.  

Note this call's expiration captures the next dividend.  The value of the call premium is worth 2 and 1/2 dividends.   For an income investor this is a very good outcome.


Stock Price on Open Call Expiration 
CVS $67.15 5/15/2020
Cost Basis:   2/25/2020 $66.07
Strike Price: $72.50
Call Premium:  $1.25
Dividend  4/22/2020 $0.500
Call Yield on Basis 1.89%
Call + Dividend Yield on Basis 2.65%
$ Gain if Assigned $8.18
Max Return  if Assigned 12.38%


M* MoneyMadam
Disclosure: Long CVS with some shares on call

Use the covered call calculator below to determine how a call would work for you.


Enter Cost Basis:
Enter Strike Price:
Enter Call Premium:
Enter Dividend if ex-div before Option Expiration:
Call Yield
GAIN
Total Return Percent if Assigned

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Friday, March 15, 2019

CVS getting paid to wait.

CVS is a very unloved stock on every level.  We don't like their part of pharmacy benefits, we don't like the cost of acquiring Aetna.  We are concerned about their ambitious goal of providing health care in every corner drugstore.   Zacks has a nice review:  https://www.nasdaq.com/article/cvs-health-cvs-dips-more-than-broader-markets-what-you-should-know-cm1115131

Just take a look at some of the fundamentals of the stock, CVS. 



Debt is little high but not surprising when you consider the cost of growing.  Dividends are flat over the last couple of years but prior to that dividend growth was good.  That is a two edged sword.  We like a company that knows how to manage their cash and sometimes maintaining instead of growing the dividend is the way to go.

Earnings per share are weak but that has to do with the cost of the recent acquisition. Many analysts prefer free cash flow.  Take a look at the graph of free cash flow below and you can see the recent trend line is up.



Per share free cash flow for the fourth quarter of 2018 was $1.69 which easily covers the quarterly dividend pay out of $.50.  

Most important to me is the revenue growth.  Sales drive revenue, revenue drives free cash flow and earnings, and those dynamics end up supporting dividends.  Dividends are what I am interested in once I convince myself the company is not going out of business. 


 

Right after dividends, I look at call option potential.  Revenue growth can stimulate call buyers to try to get in cheap through the buying of the call option.  I like the double income potential.

I own CVS and have for quite a while.  My basis is all over the place.  I am going to add today and am immediately selling this call.

This is not my favorite stock but I own it and will continue to milk it for call opportunities while I get paid the dividend as I wait for capital appreciation and resumption of dividend growth.  At close to the low of the year ($51.93,) CVS is a value stock for me.  Some might call it a value trap but with the revenue growth, I will take my chances.

M* MoneyMadam
Disclosure:  Long CVS with calls
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Wednesday, December 12, 2018

December Call Expirations

I reviewed the calls I have working in December. My idea of a working call is a stock with a covered call option.  I do not trade options.  I use options to boost income from my income stocks. I review my calls routinely as it is the most actively managed portion of our portfolio. 

All of these calls will expire soon; I don't think any will be assigned.  This post is to demonstrate the result of using covered calls on dividend stocks to boost income. 

  • Eight dividend stocks and one none dividend stock delivered income equal to 5.24% over the past year.
  • Call option income from one call nearly doubled dividend income.
  • Except for Home Depot, HD, all stocks have acceptable D/E (debt to equity) ratios.
  • Except for Square, SQ, all stocks have EPS (earnings per share) greater than Dividend Paid out.

Earning over 5% on nine different stocks from the combined total of dividends and one call is the subject of this post.  Each stock has been in my portfolio for all of 2018 except for Square.   These are not all the stocks we own, nor all the stocks on which we sell calls.  These are just the stocks we sold calls on with a December expiration date.  

My goal is to receive no less than 5% income on my income stocks.   I could put it all in At&T or Ford and get more than 5%.  I confess, we have both of these in our income portfolio.  A well diversified portfolio cannot chase yield.  Our holdings must be balanced to sleep at night.

Nine Stocks with Calls that expire in December:


The stocks that are on call cost us about $110,000.  The average dividend yield of this group of nine stocks is 2.73%.   Clearly I needed to think of something to boost income from them.  I could sell the low yielding stocks and put it all in the one high yielding stock.  The dividend yield of these stocks ranges from 0% to 4.23%.  In stead of selling good companies with a lower yield than I need, I sell calls on shares of them.  

Two tables below present the result of this strategy on these nine stocks.   In the first table is the list of nine stocks, the strike price and income from 16 calls sold on the stocks, and the basis and current value.

Call income is presented in the first table.

Stock Symbol
Basis
Current
Strike Price
No Contracts
Call Premium
NTR
$56.28
$47.58
$55.00
1
$1.05
BAC
$26.58
$24.52
$30.00
1
$1.00
CVX
$106.00
$115.62
$125.00
1
$1.25
CVS
$75.00
$74.50
$77.50
2
$1.20
GILD
$74.00
$68.14
$77.50
1
$1.15

$74.00
$68.14
$82.50
1
$1.15
HCI
$42.00
$53.65
$55.00
5
$1.33
NUE
$58.29
$56.30
$60.00
2
$1.15
SQ
$70.68
$63.65
$75.00
1
$3.50

$70.68
$63.65
$80.00
1
$5.00
HD
$149.00
$174.21
$210.00
1
$2.25






SUM
$110,380.00
$115,536.00

INCOME
$2,770.00
Update by MarketXLS
12/12/2018


Call Inc Yld on Basis
2.51%


Dividend income is presented in the second table which also illustrates how the combination of dividend income and at least one call can get you more than 5% income.


Stock Symbol
Shares
Div Income
Div Yld on Basis
Call Income
Call Yld on Basis
NTR
100
$172.00
3.06%
$105.00
1.87%
BAC
100
$60.00
2.26%
$100.00
3.76%
CVX
100
$448.00
4.23%
$125.00
1.18%
CVS
200
$400.00
2.67%
$240.00
1.60%
GILD
200
$456.00
3.08%
$230.00
1.55%
HCI
500
$750.00
2.03%
$665.00
1.55%
NUE
200
$320.00
1.52%
$230.00
1.97%
SQ
200
$0.00
0.00%
$850.00
6.01%
HD
100
$412.00
2.77%
$225.00
1.51%
SUM

$3,018.00
2.73%
$2,770.00
2.51%


Combined Income
$5,788.00
Combined Yld on Basis
5.24%



Preservation of Principle 


I have always said, I don't care about the overall stock market.  We invest in stocks with good fundamentals that pay us income.  If the value of the stock goes down, we ignore it while we cash dividends.   However, when the stock price goes down so do call option opportunities.  Yet, if the fundamentals are good, it is not uncommon to be able to buy at a lower basis and sell a call when the market raises.    

The value of these nine stocks, I was pleased to find out, is above our basis.  That is a pleasant surprise as stock prices today are not so good.   There is a lot of volatility to use as a sling shot to income.   Some times your great stock will be called away.   Don't sell a call on a position you cannot afford to lose.  However, never feel you have to keep a stock just to sell calls on it.   You need a combination of good stocks, with good fundamentals on which you can sell calls.

When you use a group of dividend stocks to create call income, it is not like buying a put.  You are not paying for risk protection.  I believe that even when a stock's price goes down, the dividend is protection.   You can go a long time between times when call opportunities exist but you get paid dividends as you go. 


How I select my calls

  • Strike price above my basis
  • Call premium plus dividend yields more than 5% income per year
  • Expiration date captures the dividend when the call premium is less than 5%

Readers of this blog know I use a disciplined approach to everything and that include calls.  On stocks like these nine, I try for a strike price that is greater than my basis.   Sometimes I want even more.  When my  basis is low and I don't really want to lose the stock, I might pick a strike price at least 10% above the current price.  This means I have less chance of losing the stock.  Look at Chevron, CVX, and Home Depot, HD to see examples of strike prices well above my basis and above current trading levels.

It is important to note the strike price on CVS Health, CVS, Gilead, GILD, and Nucor, NUE are above my basis by not by much.   These are lower yielding stocks that I sell calls on a lot.  It is okay with  me if they are called away. 

Expiration dates are important.  I like expiration dates that capture the next dividend but are not more than 90 days out. 

You are fooling yourself when you sell calls on a stock and your expiration date is before the ex-dividend date.  If your stock is assigned you get to keep the call premium but you don't get the dividend. 

In situations like this you need to consider the call premium.  If the call premium is more than 5% income on your basis, then you have met the goal already.  Square, SQ, is a good example.  It doesn't pay a dividend so the expiration date is less important.  But the yield of 4.95% on one call and 7.07% on the other justify no dividend and short expiration dates.

It is possible to have a well diversified and safe group of stocks on which you can sell calls at least once per year and receive over 5% of income.   Just think how much income you could create by using calls more than once per year.

M* MoneyMadam
Disclosure:  Long all symbols with calls 



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