Showing posts with label Alcoa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Alcoa. Show all posts

Friday, January 28, 2022

Alcoa AA is back and I am selling calls.

Underlying Security Symbol: AA

 
I cannot begin to list all the options I looked at today.  Although the market is squirrelly, I have been able to "make a living" this week by selling a few calls.  Last Friday, options expiration for the month of January, was good to me.  I had 26 symbols with call expirations on 1/21/22 with nine being assigned.  That created cash and I put some of that cash to work this week.

I nibbled at a few stocks mostly to fill out a complete lot so that I could sell calls on that lot.  These included CNQ, ORCL, NUE, and AAPL.  But none of those stocks passed muster to add another full lot on which to sell calls.  I started a position in COP and immediately sold a call on that.  

Today I started looking at higher dividend yielding stocks (more than 2.5%) and tried to find stocks with low P/E ratios and good call premiums. 

I looked at GILD, QCOM, BBY, MS, PFE, JPM, WHR, and NEM.   Some of the call premiums looked good but on closer inspection I decided not to add to those names.

What I did add today is Alcoa, symbol AA.  Alcoa is back.  It has cleaned up the balance sheet and is posting very good revenue and income growth.  It is buying back some shares and has instituted a quarterly dividend.  Alcoa is a play on the inflation issues facing all investors.  Take a look at their fundamental trends:

Source:  MSN Money




















 



I bought more AA and sold this call:





















The hair on this trade is Alcoa's P/E ratio which is about 25.  This is high for me.  Let's just see what happens.  

MM

Data from Schwab.com and Marketxls MM MoneyMadam
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Monday, March 28, 2016

Four Bonds for your consideration

Tuesday, March 29 update:   I did buy the Boise Cascade bond at par but in order to obtain a competitive bid minimum number of bonds is 50.

Original Post:

In this post I discuss four bonds for the average income investor to consider.

Interest rates are tough to predict.  Far smarter people than I have made fools of themselves trying to predict interest rates.  As you know bond values vary as interest rates vary.  When interest rates go up the value of a bond goes down and vice versa.  Provided that you buy your bonds at par or less, and hold them to maturity, these price variations are insignificant.

If you trade bonds, opportunities are abundant when interest rates are volatile, but we income investors do not trade bonds.  We invest in bonds to diversify our portfolio with an income instrument that is highly likely to deliver a steady source of income from interest and return our principle when the bond matures.  If you are a savvy bond investor you might even secure a capital gain if you bought your bond at a discount to par and receive par upon maturity or redemption.

Morningstar manages the bond data for Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA.)  I use their site to search for bonds and then I look to my broker, I use Charles Schwab, to actually find the bond's availability and trading price.

Bonds differ from stocks in that they are not as liquid.  You do not have a platform where you can place a limit order on a website and check in at the end of the day.  You need to have all your data at hand and make your decision to buy at the time the order is placed.  Schwab allows some bonds to be traded through their website but not all.  A call to the bond desk can provide better access to an acceptable trade.

Bonds also differ from stocks as you receive interest income for every day you own a bond.  Whereas with a dividend stock, you must own it on the ex-dividend date to receive the dividend.  You receive no income if you sell the stock prior to the ex-dividend date.
Interest Coverage Ratio

I have discussed D/E (debt to equity ratio) many times over the past years.  I have not discussed interest coverage ratio as much.   Interest coverage ratio is calculated by dividing EBIT which is earnings before interest and taxes by interest expense.   You can find this ratio already calculated for you on several websites but you can also go to the financial statements and find the data so that you can calculate it yourself. 

Interest coverage ratios of greater than 2 are what you want.


Four Interesting Bonds

ADT Corp, symbol ADT, has a bond that matures in 2023.  Alcoa, symbol AA, has a bond that matures in 2024. Boise Cascade, symbol BCC, has a bond that matures in 2020 and Embraer, symbol ERJ, has a bond that matures in 2022. 

I like to ladder my bonds by maturity.  The table below presents these bonds by maturity.  It includes the coupon, recent price, and yield to maturity.  Laddering takes some of the interest rate risk out of the equation.   These four bonds mature in 4 to 8 years.  Interest rates could be exactly the same or much higher in 8 years.    Although I would get my money back at maturity, I might have lost income opportunity if a 5 year U.S. Treasury is paying 6%.

A U.S. Treasury bond is safer than any of the four bonds profiled here.  So I would not want to commit my money for much more than 5-7 years.

The Table below lists these four bonds by maturity.




Issuer Fundamentals

A bond is only as good as the company that backs it.  I look for a stock with earnings, reasonable D/E ratio (debt to equity ratio), and decent interest coverage ratio.

The next table presents the issuer fundamentals including the CUSIP number for each of the bonds I may buy this week.



Further Discussion


ADT Corp. (ADT) has a thriving business.  They have earnings, pay a dividend and have revenues that are increasing; all good metrics.   However, their debt load is a bit heavy and that will way on my decision. 

Alcoa (AA) is in an industry that is under enormous pressure right now.  Although if you just look at D/E ratio, MSN Money ranks their D/E ratio at .75.   One of the peculiarities of their financial reporting is an interest coverage ratio of 1.5.  This is hard to believe as they had negative EPS during their latest quarter.  Looking back further earnings are all over the place.  Will commodity stocks like Alcoa come back?  Probably but the buyer of their bonds must understand there is risk and that is why the bond is trading at a discount.

Boise Cascade (BCC)  is the most solid of the stocks noted here.  Boise has solid revenue growth and reasonably good earnings although their most recent quarter showed some erosion in earnings.  The stock has a solid D/E ratio of .64 and interest coverage ratio of 4.58.  This is why BCC is trading right around par.   This is my favorite bond here, provided I can buy it at par or less. 

Embraer (ERJ) is a Brazilian company that trades in the US and follows most of our accounting rules.  D/E ratio of Embraer according to MSN Money is .94 which is respectable for a stock that requires a lot of capital.  Interest coverage ratio is hard to measure as their financials show no interest payments.   These facts may be suspicious and therefore I will probably not buy the Embraer bond unless I can get it at a significant discount. 

Consider one or more of these bonds for the income producing portion of your porftolio.

M* TheMoneyMadam

Disclosure:  May buy the ADT, AA, or BCC bond this week.



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Sunday, May 4, 2014

Selling Alcoa Bond

Alcoa
Alcoa (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
I am often asked to write about stocks that I sell.   I don't sell any stocks in the model portfolios I follow on this web/blog, and I rarely sell stocks in my own portfolio.    This post is to inform you that I am going to sell the Alcoa Bond I profiled last year.    Here is
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Monday, June 24, 2013

BONDS; Alcoa bond for your retirement

Alcoa
Alcoa (Photo credit: Wikipedia)


You know I never advocate bond funds, yet, often times individual bonds fit nicely into an income investor’s diversified portfolio.   In this post, I profile a bond I bought yesterday. 

I want to remind you that I like bonds with short maturities, that cost less than par, have an interest rate that is better than a dividend, and whose underlying company has a good interest coverage ratio.  



Bonds with short maturities:



When you buy bonds, your goal is to build a portfolio of bonds with varying maturities.  Long bonds, those that mature in more than ten years, cost too much and do not pay enough income to make such a commitment.  You tie up your principle for too long a time. 


Short maturities, those between three and then years, are the sweet spot of bond investing today.  Everyone is worried that interest rates will explode over the next few years.   If that comes true, the value of bonds that you buy with coupon yields that are less than government treasuries will go down.   You will not want to sell your bond at a discount so you should hold it to maturity when you will get back your principle.   You can then reinvest your principle in another bond with a higher coupon yield.    If you keep the maturities short, you tie up your principle for less time and you can take advantage of rising interest rates.



Bonds priced at less than par:



Most investors are familiar with the concept of total return when we talk about buying stocks.  You expect dividend income but you also hope your principle will increase over time.   When you buy a bond at par and hold it to maturity, you will get back par.   Your total return is only the value of the interest payments.   


If you buy a bond that costs more than par and hold it to maturity, your return is even less than the value of the interest payments because you will get back only par which would be less than you paid.    You can see why I never buy bonds at a price greater than par.



If you buy a bond at a discount and hold it to maturity, your return is a combination of the interest payments and the increased value of your principle.  You get the capital gain difference between the discounted price you paid and par.   Sometimes, (and this happens more than you may think) the value of your bond increases enough that you can sell it at greater than par.  In circumstances of that type, your return includes the interest received while you held the bond and the capital gain.




Interest coverage ratio:




If you have not yet familiarized yourself with “interest rate coverage ratio,” you should do so now.   Interest coverage ratio is simple to find.   I use MSN Money to find this the interest coverage ratio of the company that has issued the bond.  Interest coverage ratio is a measure of how well a company can pay its interest payments.    Later in this post, I have provided a link to the MSN site.



Alcoa Aluminum Company – April 15, 2021 bond



Alcoa, symbol AA, is a dividend stock but their bonds are a more compelling investment.  AA issues bonds periodically and the bond I bought today (June 24, 2013) matures on April 15, 2021; this is just under eight years until maturity. 


This bond pays a coupon yield of 5.4%.  It sells at a discount; I paid $96.291.  At this price, the yield is about 6%.   In addition, if I hold the bond to maturity I will get back my principle plus $3.709.   


This bond is rated BBB-.   I put very little faith in the rating agencies; I do my own homework and I like to use the interest coverage ratio of the underlying company to determine if that company will be able to pay the interest and return to me the principle.   In the case of this bond, the interest coverage ratio of AA is 36.59.  This means the company has a good chance of paying interest to the tune of 36.59  times what they need to cover the interest payout.  This is an excellent margin for this company and makes the bond compelling to me.   If you want to see the data on MSN click here for the link.




AA 4/15/2021 5.4%
CUSIP 013817AV3
Par
               $    100.000
Price
               $      96.291
Coupon Yield
5.400%
Yield to Maturity
6.001%
AA D/E ratio
0.43
AA Interest Coverage Ratio
36.59

You need to know the CUSIP of the bond in order to buy it.   Many brokers, I use Schwab, will have these bonds in their inventory.   If you do not see this bond on your broker’s website, call their bond desk and ask for a price using the CUSIP.   See the table at right for this bond’s details.



TheMoneyMadam

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