Friday, July 24, 2015

Gone Fishing

TheMoneyMadam will be out of the office for a couple of weeks.  Check back the beginning of August.

Thank you, TheMoneyMadam
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Friday, July 17, 2015

Selling October calls on July's call expiration day. QCOM

Another call from QCOM commands my attention.   Sold this call today.  I have loved QCOM just for this type of income.


Disclosure:  Long QCOM with calls

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Monday, July 13, 2015

Paychex symbol PAYX the next 2015 Dividend Machine

I just returned from a visit to Grace Patriot Winery where the owner took us on a tour and reviewed the complexities of running a winery.   Their wine is delicious but their regulations are monumental.   Much of the challenge is on the employee, human resources side.  

Employer Challenges
All of us who have had employees know that the complexities of just making payroll are significant.  It is not enough to just make more money than you spend, every employer, big or small must secure professional help to make sure they do not run afoul of employer rules when they pay their employees.

Paychex, symbol PAYX is a stock that meets all Dividend Machine criteria as you will see below.  This is how they describe their business:

We are a leading provider of payroll, human resource, and benefits outsourcing solutions for small- to medium-sized businesses. As of May 31, 2012, we serviced approximately 567,000 clients, including approximately 2,000 clients through four offices in Germany. We maintain our corporate headquarters in Rochester, New York, and have more than 100 offices nationwide

PAYX Dividend Machine Fundamentals

Paychex closed on Friday July 10, 2015 at $47.48.  I will use the closing price on Monday July 13, 2015 as the basis when I add PAYX to the 2015 Dividend Machine model portfolio.

Paychex has consistently earned more money per share than it pays out in dividends.   As earnings grow so have dividends.   Most recently, PAYX increased the quarterly dividend from $.38 to $.42.  This increase is just about 10%.  Over the past five years, PAYX’s average annual increase is 7.096%.   Using the closing price last Friday, PAYX’s current annualized dividend is $.42 time four or $1.68, for yield of 3.538%.

This is a stock with a solid balance sheet.   They have no debt and have not had any for quite a while.

See the table below to review PAYX’s Dividend Machine fundamentals.

I think being an employer is not getting any easier and this company is well positioned to help small and midsized employers.    Consider PAYX for the income producing portion of your portfolio.


Anticipate adding PAYX soon but no position as of this posting
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Wednesday, July 8, 2015

Small Cap Dividend Machines

Small cap stocks are defined as having a market capitalization of less than $3 Billion.  Microcap stocks are defined as having a market capitalization less than $300 million.   Some stocks are even smaller.  Those with a market capitalization of less than $50 million are considered nano caps.  Of course most investors are more familiar with medium, large, and mega capitalized stocks.

When building a portfolio of income stocks, the smaller stocks have a place.  They have a big disadvantage and that is liquidity.   By liquidity I refer to the ability to sell your stake in the stock.  Mutual funds have restrictions on buying the shares of these stocks and therefore, your potential buyers are limited.  On the other hand, a well selected dividend producing stock can be cheap; it can provide reliable dividend increases and in some cases a nice capital gain.

I took a look at my 2011 portfolio to see how the smaller companies performed over the past five years.

2011 Small Cap stocks

Out of the 52 stocks I picked for the 2011 model portfolio, 13 qualified as small or microcap.  Small cap refers to stocks that have more than $300 Million and less than $3 Billion in market capitalization.    Microcap stocks are between $50 Million and $300 Million. 

I did not try to diversify the portfolio by market capitalization.   I simply analyzed the result of my using four criteria to pick stocks and then calculated their market capitalization. 

Comparison of Small Cap 2011 stocks with total portfolio.

Two tables are presented below.   One is the result of the stock in the 2011 portfolio that are small cap or smaller and the second table reports on the total 2011 portfolio.

Small Cap Goup

As compared with the total 2011 Dividend Machine portfolio, the small caps have underperformed.  The entire portfolio has gained 56.24% since inception.   These 13 stocks have gained only 38%.  The caveat is that two stocks were sold and those proceeds are not reinvested; they are held as cash with no chance for capital gain.

Dividend appreciation of the total portfolio is 24.71% whereas the small cap group has gained only 10.43%.  I measured this using the 11 stocks remaining in the small cap group after HGIC and MPR were sold.   

Two small stocks are poor performers.  Landauer, symbol LDR, has halved its dividend recently and the stock price reflects that negative event with a capital loss of 22%.  Espey Manufacturing, symbol ESP has barely increased the dividend over the past five years and its price is flat.

Two stocks were home runs.   HGIC was sold for a 92% gain.  In the real world, you would reinvest that money, but in my model portfolios, I carry that gain as cash.   The best capital gains performer that is still in the portfolio is Utah Medical, symbol UTMD up 114% over these five years.  

Westwood Holdings group, symbol WHG is the kind of stock we all want.  WHG provided a capital gain of 59% and a dividend increase of 42.86%.   Mine Safety Appliances, symbol MSA, provided a capital gain of 60% and a dividend increase of 28%.

When you buy small cap stocks you need to remember that these are not stocks that command covered call premiums so you have to be happy with the current dividend and with the dividend appreciation history.  


Disclosure:  Long UVV, NHI, ESP, YORW, WHG

Links to previous articles on this subject:

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